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New York.– Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Dominican Republic's ratings as follows:

--Foreign currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B';

--Local currency IDR at 'B';

--Country ceiling at 'B+';

--Short-term foreign currency IDR at 'B';

--Senior unsecured debt at 'B'.

The Outlook on both the Foreign and Local currency IDRs remains Stable.

The Dominican Republic's weak liquidity position relative to 'B' peers (sovereigns rated 'B+', 'B' or 'B?') has highlighted the country's vulnerability to external shocks in an environment of lower global growth and tighter international liquidity conditions.

However, Fitch views the government's decision to pursue a new 28 month, US$1.7 billion Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as an appropriate response to relieve both external and fiscal financing pressures, supporting the sovereign's current ratings. Furthermore, high per capita income, as well as stronger social, governance and business environment indicators relative to 'B' peers continue to support the sovereign's ratings.

'Approval of a new IMF Stand-by agreement would provide the government with greater access to multilateral financing in the near-term, easing constraints on capital spending and contributing to economic growth,' said Theresa Paiz Fredel, Senior Director at Fitch Ratings. Upon approval of the IMF SBA, the government expects to obtain immediate access to US$1.1 billion, including funds from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank.

This takes into account financing originally anticipated in the 2009 budget as well as additional multilateral disbursements through emergency loans and the use of IMF financing. Through the end of August, only US$142 million in funds from multilaterals had been disbursed to the government due to slow execution of projects and failure to meet conditionality requirements.

'The IMF program could also support the government's efforts in deepening structural reforms and maintaining macroeconomic stability,' added Paiz Fredel.

An easing of commodity prices and a collapse in domestic demand has led to a rapid reduction in the Dominican Republic's current account deficit and the country's external financing needs this year. Nevertheless, at 189%, gross financing requirements/reserves remain high relative to a 'B' median of 61% in 2009. Similarly, the island's liquidity ratio of 66% this year is substantially below the 10-year 'B' median of 139% and is the second lowest liquidity ratio in 2009 among Fitch-rated sovereigns in the 'B' category.

In addition to the expected multilateral disbursements as a result of the approval of a new IMF SBA, the IMF's increased allocation of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs), amounting to US$275.3 million, will help cushion the impact of lower private capital inflows on reserves this year, improving the Dominican Republic's liquidity position in 2010.

Weak domestic demand reduced real GDP growth to 1.4% in the first half of this year, its lowest level in five years. An inability to execute a counter-cycle fiscal response due to financing constraints has dampened the effectiveness of counter-cyclical monetary policy.

In light of the greater than expected short-fall in revenues during the first half of 2009, capital expenditures declined by 37% compared to the same period in 2008, resulting in a slight central government surplus through June, underpinning the need to obtain additional external financing and increase budget execution in the remaining months of this year.

Looking ahead, the Dominican Republic's ratings would benefit from stronger external liquidity and the continued maintenance of macroeconomic stability. By contrast, an increase in external financing requirements, as well as a sharp decline in non-debt creating capital inflows or a return of capital flight which results in downward pressures on the peso and a sustained erosion of international reserves would be negative for the ratings.

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COMMENTS
31 comment(s)
Written by: RosaLaLinda, 24 Oct 2009 10:14 AM
From: United States, Rock Hills, North Carolina
What all this means is that the Government of the Right Honorable Sani Abacha, er, Leonel Fernandez can borrow more money--as long as the country pays higher interest rate--to subsidize his 'bagamunderia', er, government and further mortgage any chances the DR has of ever escaping it downward spiral...

In other words: "Estamos màs jodìos que antes"
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 3:37 PM
From: United States
I like your style Rosa Linda!
Written by: Blutarsky, 24 Oct 2009 4:57 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
that is because you do not have any style josie .....here is 50 pesos go buy yourself a new personality you do not have one of those either
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 5:07 PM
From: United States
Don't try to get between us! We got a Thing Going On!
Written by: Blutarsky, 24 Oct 2009 5:10 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
sorry !
Written by: Blutarsky, 24 Oct 2009 5:12 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
but she is too intelligent and charming and probably too beautiful as well
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 5:18 PM
From: United States
Flattery will get you nowhere like your darling Sarah’s bridge!
Written by: dagtan, 24 Oct 2009 5:19 PM
From: United States
What this should mean to everyone here is, that the DR indeed has the potential to become a real player in the area. The DR needs to realize that the future is in the jobs that have not being created yet. They need to expand their education system and create connections with international communities in order to raise money and have knowledge exchange programs.

The DR should capitalize on the fact that its educated population could be bilingual in the tow most important languages world wide. The reason why the Indians are out doing the Chinese is because they can speak English.

Now, imagine, the DR founding universities that are solely dedicated to talent development. The country can actually select the most capable students within it system and have them become part of fully funded college programs with conditions that they will work overseas to broaden their skills and then return home to teach other and propagate such methods. IT IS POSSIBLE.
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 5:37 PM
From: United States
"They need to expand their education system"

Sorry to disagree with you D, but they need to BUILD a world class PUBLIC education system from preschool to graduate school.

Since Trujillo privatized the educational system via the Concordato with the Catholic Church destroying Hosto’s method "good" education in DR has only been available to the few than can afford it.
Written by: dagtan, 24 Oct 2009 6:14 PM
From: United States
I stand corrected, josean.
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 6:25 PM
From: United States
I meant it in the most respectfu way, my admired brother.
Written by: Junior777, 24 Oct 2009 6:36 PM
From: United States
my own plan to stop the dominican government from getting loan check this out ,every body that work outside of the dominican republic most open a bank of account in the reserve bank inside of the dr at least 10,000 euro per person,we need a least 2million to 5 million people with account.
Written by: josean, 24 Oct 2009 6:43 PM
From: United States
You go first!
Written by: dagtan, 24 Oct 2009 7:05 PM
From: United States
junior777, let me know what interest rate you get.
Written by: glomarexplorer, 24 Oct 2009 8:14 PM
From: United States, Fresh Water Paradise-NY Finger Lakes
Dag & Josean,

Would our lives really be much different if we had better education in DR? Is it possible that we would just wound up with a highly educated populace with no commensurate jobs? Wouldn't the upper crust and the ruling class still rule our destiny? Really, how would it change things for the better for the average joe?

Is it possible that, like in Argentina and Cuba, we would just wind up with a highly educated underused and dissatisfied populace?

Without developing economic opportunities to employ an an educated populace, I don't see how we could be better off through education alone. Heck, we have lots of unemployed highly educated Dominicans today just because they don't belong to the ruling party. Consequently, I don't expect things to be much different when we educate even more people.

I like educational initiatives, but I also like to institute integrity simultaneously-then we'll have something!
Written by: Blutarsky, 24 Oct 2009 8:28 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
Josean recently learned to read and write as you can obviously see and he has a tendency to over estimate its value it is one of the subjects other than the Metro his primary obsession he whines and complains about.........congratulations josie and keep plugging away at the GED
Written by: abc200, 24 Oct 2009 9:13 PM
From: United Kingdom
DR needs to link its Agriculturual universities to those of China, Cuba, and other developing countries. In China Agriultural University starts at age 16.
THE University of Vudal is setting a fine example under the captainship of Prof. Philip Siaguru in its development of teaching and
agricultural research in PNG.
Just less than 10 years back, the now University of Vudal was a college offering Diploma courses in Tropical Agriculture.
Vudal has since developed at a much faster pace to develop a syllabus/curriculum that now offers Diplomas, undergraduate degrees as well as
postgraduate Degrees in some Agricultural Management courses.
The recent affiliation of the Kavieng Fisheries College to the University of Vudal and other colleges in the New Guinea Islands region speaks
for itself the vision of Prof. Philip Sianguru, the Vudal University Council and the Chancellor Sir Rabbie Namaliu have for teaching,
research and agricultural development in PNG. I was surprised by Prof. Phil
Written by: abc200, 24 Oct 2009 9:19 PM
From: United Kingdom
Siaguru and his delegation of committed and patriotic Papua New
Guinean when they arrived at the South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, China in March 2009. Prof. Siaguru and his delegation was
here for the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for the collaboration of teaching and research between the two (2) Universities.
China is embarking on agricultural research and development and I see this collaboration as a positive step to learn from another developing
country whose farming practices are very much similar to ours.
I wish other universities follow suit and pray that the government assist the UoV so that they can start negotiating for immediate staff and
student exchange programs for improvement of teaching and research in PNG if PNG is to keep up with the current developments in agricultural
science and technology.
http://www.postcourier.com.pg/20090409/view06.htm
Hope Agricultural Universities here can link with China and other countries......
S.
Written by: glomarexplorer, 24 Oct 2009 10:19 PM
From: United States, Fresh Water Paradise-NY Finger Lakes
So abc,

Given choice between advanced and developing country to follow, you'd choose developing-especially non-trustworthy China?

I hope you'll buy their tilapia. medicine and toothpaste? If you do, then I could really understand where you are coming from and where you are stuck.
Written by: Perception, 24 Oct 2009 10:21 PM
From: United States
I encourage everyone to call any relative at DR, ask them how is everything down there and then start to believe all the bull that sometimes Dominican today publish here. !!!!!!

Ask !!
Written by: abc200, 25 Oct 2009 8:26 AM
From: United Kingdom
I don't see quite what say UK or USA knows about tropical agriculture on a small scale. Singapore is one of the few developed countries in tropical zone - but their land mass is small. Australia and Thailand do some interesting work in PNG.
http://www.enaca.org/modules/news/article.php?storyid=1849
There are of course good substitutes for toothpaste - why buy it out of a tube - boiled chalk, ground brick and baking soda is probably as good. A rinse with tea is possible for fluorides.
Not importing toothpaste could save developing countries millions......
S.
Written by: MalditoGringo, 26 Oct 2009 10:49 AM
From: Dominican Republic
Back on topic....currency stability; thank God Obama is driving the US currency into the ground.

Problem is the "sillyness package" is not going to create demand for the US to buy our stuff, nor visit our beaches, nor nada. When the US economy dumps into next years recession proving that this is in fact a depression...then we'll really get to enjoy all the debt.
Written by: MalditoGringo, 26 Oct 2009 10:51 AM
From: Dominican Republic
At least riding the Metro will stil be cheap! (if its running) Now there was $2b well spent.

Notice that Diandi XIX has not been building very quickly? Keep an eye on that building to know when they start cutting checks for the works already underway on Line 2...when that building starts growing again it means the Metro checks have started rolling again.
Written by: abc200, 26 Oct 2009 11:53 AM
From: United Kingdom
DR can grow enough plantanos to manage without US tourists. Maybe from Russia and Brazil; Europe. Over 40% come from Europe at the moment - but these stay longer than US tourists.
When the Airlines start services with the A380 ( 700 passengers ) Europe tourism will really take off...
S.
Written by: Atabey, 28 Oct 2009 2:46 PM
From: United States
In my opinion DR needs to concentrate on five areas: 1) developing their agro-sector so that the needs of the Tourism sector is met, the domestic market, the Haitian market, the pan-Caribbean market, and the NAFTA and EU market. The Tourist and Haitian markets should, competency and professionalism established, not be out of the question. The domestic market, a given. The pan-Caribbean market should be a battle, but one we should be competitive in; the NAFTA market will be more competitive, but again we only need win a small percentage(less than 1%) of total market share and branding should help us there, the EU market would also need add a small percentage for success. Again, success needs to be measured according to potential, and the DR has potential. Whether or not its political and economic elites have the fortitude to accomplish the goals is the great question.

2) Education is another very important pillar of any successful modernization process.
Written by: dagtan, 28 Oct 2009 2:56 PM
From: United States
Glomar, yes, remember that the main reason why the DR governments are not questioned or why the candidates are not even required to hold national debates, is due to the lack of knowledge of the people. Also, why in the world would a country build 21st century technology when its people is still stuck in the 19th century. Think about it, it is like bringing biothermal technology to Moca and expect the people there to even know how to exploit it and use it productively.

Glomar, you are right in certain areas and I think that if we combine both methods, really good things can happen. As you can see and if you go back to history, the industrial revolution did not come before great academic institution neither it benefited those who had low education base.

So technology and advancement would only take place if the people ask for it or demands it, and if the people do not even have a post high school education, then they will not know any better. Bill Gates's are far and in between
Written by: Atabey, 28 Oct 2009 3:00 PM
From: United States
I agree with Josean that a quality general public system is the best way to achieve the goal. A strong early Kindergarden program followed by qualitative primary and secoundary level training are de rigueur if the DR is to ever escape the morass of underdevelopment. again, a strong link with the agricultural and Tourist sectors needs to be established, so that students are trained for the sectors at an early age and recieve the education and training to be successful workers. Links with the major and potential future tourist flow nations would greatly help; again, a agree with those that state that English training should receive maxium support, as this language is the universal language of commerce and exchange. But for the sake of the tourist sector and for general intellectual development, having well educated people who speak several languages is always beneficial. Thus, how about some German, French, Chinese, Russian, Italian schools, Brazilain Portuguese, too.
Written by: abc200, 28 Oct 2009 7:48 PM
From: United Kingdom
As Haiti is a close neighbor and France a good trading partner perhaps French should be given priority over English.
But of course the domestic market should have priority, substituting for imports and attaining self sufficiency. DR needs a network of light railways for freight and passengers reducing the need to import motor vehicles and fuel.
S.
Written by: Blutarsky, 28 Oct 2009 8:44 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
As Haiti is a close neighbor we all wish you would move there and stop torturing us with your commie drivel ......a firing squad is to good for you
Written by: abc200, 30 Oct 2009 12:07 PM
From: United Kingdom
Who is the 'we' you and your broken down TV's and your framed picture of Goebbels?
S.
Written by: Blutarsky, 30 Oct 2009 3:46 PM
From: United States, Faber College Double Secret Probation
Target your bitterness about not knowing who your father is and being ridiculed for it has been going on for too long ......you are confused on fathers day and you are now alienated from the human race
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