By David Gardner

America is reaching a ‘tipping point’ when the babies born to minority parents outnumber whites for the first time.
More white women than ever before are postponing having children until they are older, while minority mothers are still having babies at younger ages, according to a US study published yesterday.
Experts claim the immigration boom has accelerated the historic trend that is likely to leave whites in the minority in America by the middle of the century.
Multicultural: Families watch babies in a hospital nursery in Houston, Texas. There will soon be more babies born to minority parents than to white families
Minorities made up 48 per cent of US children born in 2008, according to the latest census estimates, compared to 37 per cent in 19990.
But the new study suggests the number of minority babies born this year is almost certainly going to number more than half of all new births.
‘For America’s children, the future is now,’ said Kenneth Johnson, a sociology professor at the University of New Hampshire who researched many of the racial trends in the report.
‘Census projections suggest America may become a minority-majority country by the middle of the century,’ he added.
He explained that there are now more Hispanic women of prime childbearing age in the US, who tend to have more children than women of other races.
U.S. BIRTH STATISTICS 2008Percentage of babies born in American broken down by race

52% WHITE

25% HISPANIC

15% BLACK

4% ASIAN

4% MULTIRACIAL

More white women are waiting until they are older to have babies, although it is not yet clear how much effect that will have on the current trend of increasing minority newborns.
The number of white women of prime childbearing age is on the decline, dropping 19 per cent from 1990.
Broken down by race, about 52 per cent of babies born in 2008 were white.
That's compared to about 25 per cent Hispanic, 15 per cent black and 4 per cent Asian. Another 4 per cent were identified by their parents as multiracial.

The numbers highlight the nation's growing racial and age divide, seen in pockets of communities across the US, which could heighten tensions in current policy debates from immigration reform and education to health care and Social Security.
There are also strong implications for the 2010 population count, which begins in earnest next week, when more than 120 million US households receive their census forms in the post.
The Census Bureau is running public service announcements this week to improve its tally of young children, particularly minorities, who are most often missed in the once-a-decade head count.
Whites currently make up two-thirds of the total US population, and recent census estimates suggest the total number of minorities may not overtake the number of whites until 2050.
Right now, roughly one in ten of the nation's 3,142 counties already have minority populations greater than 50 per cent.

But one in four communities have more minority children than white children or are nearing that point, according to the study, which Mr Johnson co-published.
That is because Hispanic women on average have three children, while other women on average have two. The numbers are 2.99 children for Hispanics, 1.87 for whites, 2.13 for blacks and 2.04 for Asians in the US.

The 2008 census estimates used local records of births and deaths, tax records of people moving within the US, and census statistics on immigrants.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1257110/America-nears-tipping-point-babies-born-minority-parents-outnumber-whites-time.html#ixzz0htfrZZcF

This is interesting, but more interesting will be the reactions it draws.

The dichotomy 'whites/minorities' is fairly shallow, so I'm glad they included the figures in the bigger rainbow of buckets. Even these can be deceiving though, because each of BLACK, ASIANS and HISPANICS is an amalgamation of many diverse groups. When you see those numbers and accuont for the fact that the rainbow buckets are not nearly as monolithic as the WHITE bucket you see that their demographic dominance is not even close to being in danger.

Finally I would like to see similar articles exploring how income affects these figures. Are females in the minority rainbow buckets who are also higher income closer to their counterparts in the white bucket in terms of fertility? As more and more members of the rainbow buckets ascend the socioeconomic scale do their fertility patterns become more like the white bucket? Also significant is the difference between 1st, 2nd, etc. generation removed from migration for those groups with large foreign-born populations (ASIAN, HISPANIC, and to a lesser extent also BLACK).

This year's census may offer fascinating info on all these demographic questions. It may also be the last census capable of doing so because I suspect by 2020 collecting this kind of info will be abolished or close to it.

Manhattanite, Check out this site, it has a wealth of info.


http://pewhispanic.org/


5.28.2009

Latino Children: A Majority Are U.S.-Born Offspring of Immigrants

by Richard Fry, Senior Research Associate, Pew Hispanic Center, and Jeffrey S. Passel, Senior Demographer, Pew Hispanic Center

Report Materials

Complete Report

Other Resources


Hispanics now make up 22% of all children under the age of 18 in the United States--up from 9% in 1980--and as their numbers have grown, their demographic profile has changed.

A majority (52%) of the nation's 16 million Hispanic children are now "second generation," meaning they are the U.S.-born sons or daughters of at least one foreign-born parent, typically someone who came to this country in the immigration wave from Mexico, Central America and South America that began around 1980. Some 11% of Latino children are "first generation"--meaning they themselves are foreign-born. And 37% are "third generation or higher"--meaning they are the U.S.-born children of U.S.-born parents.

In 1980, only three-in-ten Latino children were second generation, while nearly six-in-ten were in the third generation or higher. These shifts are noteworthy because many social, economic and demographic characteristics of Latino children vary sharply by their generational status. A Pew Hispanic Center analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data finds that first and second generation Latino children are less likely than third or higher generation children to be fluent in English and to have parents who completed high school. They are more likely to live in poverty. But they are less likely than third or higher generation Latino children to live in single parent households.

Another characteristic that separates Latino children along generational lines is their legal status. Building on earlier research, the Pew Hispanic Center estimates that 7% of all Hispanic children are unauthorized immigrants. But this share varies sharply by generational status. Two-thirds of the 1.7 million foreign-born Hispanic children are unauthorized, while none of the 6 million Hispanic children in the third generation or higher are unauthorized (as the U.S.-born children of U.S.-born parents, by definition they are U.S. citizens at birth). As for those in the middle--the second generation--about four-in-ten have at least one unauthorized immigrant parent and are therefore living in a family whose immigration status is legally mixed.

Projections by the U.S. Census Bureau indicate that by 2025, nearly three-in-ten children in this country will be of Latino ancestry. Pew Hispanic Center population projections indicate that the generational composition of Hispanic children will change yet again between now and then. The share of Hispanic children who are second generation is projected to peak soon, while the share of Hispanic children who are third generation or higher will begin to rise in the coming decade.

This report presents findings from several existing and new Pew Hispanic Center analyses of U.S. Census Bureau data. The analysis of the legal status of Hispanic children utilized the augmented March 2008 Current Population Survey. The historical and current profile of Hispanic children derives from new analyses of Decennial Census and American Community Survey data.

Other Resources

National Research Council and Institute of Medicine (1999). Children of Immigrants: Health, Adjustment, and Public Assistance. Committee on the Health and Adjustment of Immigrant Children and Families, Donald J. Hernandez, editor. Board on Children Youth and Families. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.

Federal Interagency Forum on Child and Family Statistics. America's Children: Key National Indicators of Well-Being, 2007. Federal Interagency Forum on Child and Family Statistics, Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office.

Fry, Richard and Felisa Gonzales. One-in-Five and Growing Fast: A Profile of Hispanic Public School Students. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center, August 2008.

Furstenberg, Frank F., Maureen R. Waller, and Hongyu Wang. The Well-Being of California's Children. San Francisco, CA: Public Policy Institute of California, July 2003.

Johnson, Julia Overturf, Robert Kominski, Kristin Smith, and Paul Tillman. Changes In The Lives Of U.S. Children: 1990-2000. U. S. Census Bureau: Population Division Working Paper No. 78., November 2005.

America better continue to learn spanish... Sales people will need to know spanish in order to compete in the future

1.21.2010

Statistical Portrait of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States, 2008

This statistical profile of the foreign-born population is based on Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the Census Bureau's 2008 American Community Survey (ACS). The ACS is the largest household survey in the United States, with a sample of about 3 million addresses. It covers virtually the same topics as those in the long form of the decennial census. The ACS is designed to provide estimates of the size and characteristics of the resident population, which includes persons living in households and, for the first time, persons living in group quarters.

The specific data sources for this statistical profile are the 1% sample of the 2008 ACS Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS) and the 5% sample of the 2000 Census IPUMS provided by the University of Minnesota.1 The IPUMS assigns uniform codes, to the extent possible, to data collected by the decennial census and the ACS from 1850 to 2008. Due to differences in the way in which the IPUMS and Census Bureau adjust income data and assign poverty status, data provided in Tables 24 – 31 might differ from data on these variables that are provided by the Census Bureau. For more information about the IPUMS, including variable definition and sampling error, please visit http://usa.ipums.org/usa/design.shtml. To learn more about the sampling strategy and associated error of the 2000 Census or the 2008 American Community Survey, please refer to Chapter 8 of Summary File 3: 2000 at http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2000/doc/sf3.pdf and http://www.census.gov/acs/www/Downloads/ACS/accuracy2008.pdf, respectively.

Because persons living in group quarters were not included in the 2005 ACS, the data contained in this profile of foreign-born persons, tabulated from the 2008 ACS, are not comparable with the data included in the Pew Hispanic Center's Foreign Born at Mid-Decade report.

For the purposes of this statistical portrait, the foreign born include those persons who identified as naturalized citizens or non-citizens. Persons born in Puerto Rico and other outlying territories of the U.S. are included in the native-born population.

Data tabulations were performed by Daniel Dockterman and Gabriel Velasco.

_______________________
1Steven Ruggles, Matthew Sobek, Trent Alexander, Catherine A. Fitch, Ronald Goeken, Patricia Kelly Hall, Miriam King, and Chad Ronnander. Integrated Public Use Microdata Series: Version 3.0 [Machine-readable database]. Minneapolis, MN: Minnesota Population Center [producer and distributor], 2004. http://usa.ipums.org/usa

Tables 1-36: Complete "Statistical Portrait of the Foreign-Born Population in the United States, 2008"

Table 1: Population by Nativity: 2000 and 2008
Table 2: Population Change by Nativity: 2000 and 2008
Table 3: Foreign Born by Region of Birth: 2000 and 2008
Table 4: Change in the Foreign-Born Population by Region of Birth: 2000 and 2008
Table 5: Country of Birth: 2008
Table 6: Population by Nativity, Race and Ethnicity: 2008
Table 7: Foreign Born by Region of Birth and Date of Arrival: 2008
Table 8: Nativity by Sex and Age: 2008
Table 8a: Age and Gender Distributions for Nativity Groups: 2008
Table 9: Median Age in Years by Sex and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 10: Foreign Born by State: 2008
Table 11: Change in the Foreign-Born Population by State: 2000 and 2008
Table 12: Foreign Born by State and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 12a: Foreign Born by State and Region of Birth: 2008 (percents)
Table 13: Marital Status by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 14: Fertility in the Past Year by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 15: Fertility in the Past Year by Marital Status and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 16: Persons by Household Type and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 17: Households by Type and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 18: Heads of Households by Family Size and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 19: Living Arrangements of Children by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 20: Language Spoken at Home and English-Speaking Ability by Age and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 21: Language Spoken at Home and English-Speaking Ability Among Foreign Born by Date of Arrival and Age: 2008
Table 22: Persons by Educational Attainment and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 23: School Enrollment by Region of Birth: 2000 and 2008
Table 24: Occupation by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 25: Detailed Occupation by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 26: Industry by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 27: Detailed Industry by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 28: Persons by Personal Earnings and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 29: Median Personal Earnings by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 30: Full-Time, Year-Round Workers by Personal Earnings and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 31: Median Personal Earnings for Full-Time, Year-Round Workers by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 32: Households by Income and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 33: Median Household Income by Region of Birth: 2008
Table 34: Poverty by Age and Region of Birth: 2008
Table 35: Housing Tenure by Region of Birth: 2000 and 2008
Table 36: Homeownership Among Foreign-Born Heads of Households by Date of Arrival: 2008

Download an Excel workbook containing these tables (4.7MB)

Why?

Most of those so-called "hispanics" can barely speak Spanish!

Really the only need for Spanish in business will be in financial centers that do large amounts of business with Latin America. Some of the major cities in the Border States as well as Miami and New York,

Of course if you want to be a store clerk at the local corner bodega in East L.A. then you better learn the gutterspeak of the area.

Because when 1/3 of the population of this nation are from Hispanic origin the way of doing business will change, there will be more interest in Latin America rather than Europe or other places.
Today, we have Irish, German and European descendant in position of power so most of the business is conducted with Europe.
Also, Latin America is to close to the US and the Hispanic influence is huge, second and third generation hispanics still like to eat platanos and tortillas, like Germans, Polish and Italians like pretzels, sauerkraut, sausages and pasta.
There is another variable that is article is not considering, the emeriging China and its effect on Asian migration to America; as China becomes a world power economy less people from Asia will pack for America and many others already stablished in America may decide to comeback to their homeland and in the chase of opportunities, specially for those who can speak Mandarin. With that said the proportion of Hispanic in America may exceed the 25% by 2050. I cannot foresee what's going to happen, but this will be a great cultural impact in the America that we know today.

A message to ALL WHITE: WHITES WILL BE THE MAJORITY BY 2050 (Don't Panic)

I read that once hispanic become more american, and less latin because of the cut off that naturally results from death (of the immigrant ancestor) White Hispanics will be joined to the ranks of white... This is easy to realize since one can see that the term WHITE is rather subjective...

Irish, Jews, Italians, Germans and Easter Europeans at one point were not accepted as Whites and eventually became... once all those "White Hispanics join the ranks of the Other Whites, WHITES, again will be the Majority.

Perhaps, and I certainly agree that Hispanics that are white will easily clear the hurdles-many have already. But there is another growing segment that while low today stands to make an impressive jump in the future count: the mixed group. Just watching the youth of today makes one think that by 2050 the number of Americans having mixed heritage will increase tremendously. I think that 25% is not out of the question by 2050. Certainly, class and education will influence this development.

New Mexico or Southern California can be used a models of how America will look like and operate by 2050; in these places we can find the largest groups of second and third generation hispanics in America.
In San Diego county, around 22% of the population speak Spanish as the first language at home.