Ophelia Heading our Way? - Santo Domingo

#1 - Posted 9 September 2011, 9:57 AM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	Ophelia Heading our Way? Tropical Storm MARIA Public Advisory Home Public Adv Fcst/Adv Discussion Wind Probs Graphics Archive US Watch/Warning 000 WTNT34 KNHC 091155 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 800 AM AST FRI SEP 09 2011 ...MARIA HEADING TOWARD THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.0N 56.9W ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM ENE OF BARBADOS ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.9 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL REACH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY SATURDAY...AND BE NEAR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LESSER ANTILLES BY LATE TODAY. RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BROWN Edited on 9/20/2011 8:53 AM by Atabey. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S.

Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S.

National Forecast Play Video Weather Forecast Video:National Forecast weather.com

William Browning – Mon Sep 19, 1:53 pm ET
Contribute content like this. Start here.

After a week of little to no activity in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center states a system of clouds in the middle of the Atlantic has a 60 percent chance of forming into a tropical system. Should a named storm be produced, it would be named Ophelia from Shakespeare's Hamlet.

So far there have been 15 named storms in the Atlantic Ocean this year. The National Hurricane Center predicted 14 to 19 named storms this year. Of those, it believed seven to 10 would form into hurricanes and three to five of those would be major hurricanes.

If another tropical system forms, it may take a week to reach land, if at all. With the exception of Hurricane Irene, all of the storms that have formed this far out in the Atlantic have missed large landmasses. Tropical Storm Nate was an anomaly when it formed in the Gulf of Mexico and then dumped rain on Mexico. Places like Texas have missed copious amounts of rain even though it is suffering from one of the worst droughts in history.

Hurricane season ends Nov. 30. With just four more storms, the prediction will have reached the upper limit of the named storms. Luckily, forecasters were wrong about the number of hurricanes so far. Only three storms have formed into hurricanes named Irene, Katia and Maria. Maria fizzled. Irene and Katia were major storms.

With more than two months left to go in hurricane season, there is still plenty of time to have more storms. The United States has been spared most of the strong storms as only Irene made landfall. Rain from Tropical Storm Nate dumped rain in the southeastern United States.

For the prediction to come true this year, there will have to be more hurricanes in the Atlantic. That would also put the prediction on the low end of the number of storms. Nothing has yet come close to the record-breaking hurricane season of 2005 when there were 31 storms that made it all the way to Tropical Storm Zeta because they ran out of names.

That year also had an Irene but it didn't make landfall. Hurricane Ophelia also formed in the Atlantic six years ago. Hurricane Katrina was the headline maker in 2005.

Texas and other southern states are still suffering from drought conditions. A hurricane or tropical system would be a good addition for rain to help alleviate some extreme drought . Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Louisiana and Arkansas could all use some more rain.

"If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck

#2 - Posted 9 September 2011, 10:35 AM
guillermone Location: United States Join date: March 2008 Member #: 522 Posts: 5804	RE: Tropical Storm Maria Hay Maria quien to lo diria..............
	Post IP/Country: 168.221.159.3* / US

#3 - Posted 9 September 2011, 3:23 PM
guillermone Location: United States Join date: March 2008 Member #: 522 Posts: 5804	RE: Tropical Storm Maria Un, Dos, Tres Un pasito palante Maria Un, Dos, Tres Un pasito patras Aunque me muera ahora maria Te tengo que besar
	Post IP/Country: 168.221.159.3* / US

#4 - Posted 9 September 2011, 3:24 PM
guillermone Location: United States Join date: March 2008 Member #: 522 Posts: 5804	RE: Tropical Storm Maria Un, Dos, Tres Un pasito palante Maria Un, Dos, Tres Un pasito patras Aunque me muera ahora maria Te tengo que besar
	Post IP/Country: 168.221.159.3* / US

#5 - Posted 20 September 2011, 8:51 AM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	Ophelia Heading our Way? http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml NHC Virtual Tour Library Joint Hurr Testbed NCEP \| Newsletter Contact Us FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services. Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant. Place your mouse cursor over areas of interest for more information Archived Outlooks GIS data: .shp ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN Edited on 9/20/2011 8:53 AM by Atabey. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

#6 - Posted 20 September 2011, 8:52 AM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. National Forecast Play Video Weather Forecast Video:National Forecast weather.com William Browning – Mon Sep 19, 1:53 pm ET Contribute content like this. Start here. After a week of little to no activity in the tropics, the National Hurricane Center states a system of clouds in the middle of the Atlantic has a 60 percent chance of forming into a tropical system. Should a named storm be produced, it would be named Ophelia from Shakespeare's Hamlet. So far there have been 15 named storms in the Atlantic Ocean this year. The National Hurricane Center predicted 14 to 19 named storms this year. Of those, it believed seven to 10 would form into hurricanes and three to five of those would be major hurricanes. If another tropical system forms, it may take a week to reach land, if at all. With the exception of Hurricane Irene, all of the storms that have formed this far out in the Atlantic have missed large landmasses. Tropical Storm Nate was an anomaly when it formed in the Gulf of Mexico and then dumped rain on Mexico. Places like Texas have missed copious amounts of rain even though it is suffering from one of the worst droughts in history. Hurricane season ends Nov. 30. With just four more storms, the prediction will have reached the upper limit of the named storms. Luckily, forecasters were wrong about the number of hurricanes so far. Only three storms have formed into hurricanes named Irene, Katia and Maria. Maria fizzled. Irene and Katia were major storms. With more than two months left to go in hurricane season, there is still plenty of time to have more storms. The United States has been spared most of the strong storms as only Irene made landfall. Rain from Tropical Storm Nate dumped rain in the southeastern United States. For the prediction to come true this year, there will have to be more hurricanes in the Atlantic. That would also put the prediction on the low end of the number of storms. Nothing has yet come close to the record-breaking hurricane season of 2005 when there were 31 storms that made it all the way to Tropical Storm Zeta because they ran out of names. That year also had an Irene but it didn't make landfall. Hurricane Ophelia also formed in the Atlantic six years ago. Hurricane Katrina was the headline maker in 2005. Texas and other southern states are still suffering from drought conditions. A hurricane or tropical system would be a good addition for rain to help alleviate some extreme drought . Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Louisiana and Arkansas could all use some more rain. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

#7 - Posted 20 September 2011, 7:22 PM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	RE: Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. Edited on 9/20/2011 7:26 PM by Atabey. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

#8 - Posted 21 September 2011, 8:14 AM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	RE: Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

#9 - Posted 21 September 2011, 9:41 AM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	RE: Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

#10 - Posted 28 September 2011, 4:14 PM
Atabey Location: United States, NYC Join date: October 2009 Member #: 3761 Posts: 12104	RE: Another Tropical System Developing Off Africa, May Head to U.S. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE...LOCATED ABOUT 980 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...AND ON TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA...LOCATED ABOUT 215 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT31 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT1. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON OPHELIA ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT21 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT1. $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN "If you want to sleep well at night, it's best to avoid watching the making of sausages or politics." Otto Von Bismarck
	Post IP/Country: 66.108.196.20* / US

May 25, 2012, Updated 6:47 AM
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