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SANTO DOMINGO.- A new poll published on Monday says president Leonel Fernandez, candidate of the PLD party, would win the elections in the first ballot with 55 percent of the votes, while Miguel Vargas, candidate of the opposition PRD party, would get 36 percent.

The survey by the pollster Asisa Research Group says support for the candidate of the PRSC party, Amable Aristy, is seven percent.

The poll, emailed to the media Monday morning, was conducted from April 27 to May 1, with 25,535 registered voters, and has a margin of error of 0.61 percentage points.

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20 comment(s)
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 2:47 PM
From: Canada
Curtains
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Written by: JRRubirosa, 12 May 2008 2:51 PM
From: United States
He is extremely qualified and will win.......................................No more PRD to destroy Dominican Republic
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Written by: DennisC, 12 May 2008 3:02 PM
From: United States

Not my choosing at all the PLD would be, but as long as the PRD don't get back I am happy,
those people, should not be in power once more, never again.

What we need is new blood, new people, with more than balls of steel, we need men with guts,
and we know they are there.
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Written by: josean, 12 May 2008 3:02 PM
From: United States
"Asisa Reserch Gro"

From under what rock did these group crawl out of?
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Written by: DennisC, 12 May 2008 3:04 PM
From: United States
by the way, just who the hell are this people?

never heard of this Asisa research group, maybe a new creation for the ocassion?
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Written by: josean, 12 May 2008 5:47 PM
From: United States
DennisC

I like that it rymes, "a creation for the ocassion!"
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 5:50 PM
From: Canada
Highly respected......CURTAINS
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 5:51 PM
From: Canada
Who is the economist or batchatero Vargas in other posting cassie ?
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Written by: DennisC, 12 May 2008 5:54 PM
From: United States
Josean, my buddy,

just trying to be creative like you are,
but if falls right into place, since we know crap about who that "creation for the ocassion" is,
perhaps properly brought up for May 16??,

thought you would have a better idea by now about that Asisa research, and I know you are good,
but I doubt that you or any of us will ever find out.
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 6:13 PM
From: Canada
cassie knows but wont say..... because their credentials are bullet proof
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 6:15 PM
From: Canada
who is the economist>? .....he is probably a grade school teacher in Constanza
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Written by: hectorvargas, 12 May 2008 9:15 PM
From: United States
The powers that will be will always dominate the ignorant to live an illusion. At the end and following the weeks and months and years the great majority will be in no better standards than day before the elections. They will awake to their same problems and worries, how are they going to feed their children, clothe them and provide them with a respectable education or at least the imitation of an education. The problems with the PRD was that they should had done better in their turned at governing so until a better candidate is selected by the PRD, (one who is better at the destruction of life) well they just got to wait till next time. For the PLD, I know what power does and it will consumed them this time around. A book should be written with the title " How To Inheret A Presidency ". Or how about " Made In The United States ". What a Country and when will Dominicans awake from that dose given to them.
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 12 May 2008 9:27 PM
From: Canada
yes if only we could me more like Venezuela and Cuba we would have it made..... Those people are really fortunate......now Cuba even has rice cookers and cell phones..... if only anybody could afford them..... jubilation at their government’s announcement that common citizens would be able to stay at the country’s exclusive five star hotels died down today after a government spokesman clarified that it would be exclusively as cleaning personnel "
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Written by: Belial, 13 May 2008 1:38 AM
From: United States
It's unusual to use such a huge sample of 25,535 for a population of only 10,000,000.

In the USA, with a population of 300 million, pollsters use samples somewhere between 1200 to 3000.

Why did Asisa Reserch Group, a Dominican outfit, perform the needless toil with this huge sample?

Curious.

Perhaps, Asisa reduced the margin or error to an insignificant 0.61% instead of the common 3 or 4 points by means of the huge sample.

But if this was the reason for the huge size of the sample, then why did Asisa use "registered voters" rather than "likely voters" for the sample.

A sample of "likely voters" better predicts the size and breakdown of the turnout.

Asisa and Penn however concur about LF's lead and first round win but both interview periods were at least two weeks before election day. Clinton pulled off a post-polls election day shift from 10 points behind in NH on Obama, but nobody seems to believe that Vargas is going to do a similar shocker.





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Written by: daniloaguzman, 13 May 2008 1:46 AM
From: Dominican Republic
ASISA RESEARCH GROUP is a market research company founded in 1988 in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic.

Its director is Lilian M. Pagan ( lilian@asisard.com), the phone number is 809.683.8038 and it is located in Arroyo Hondo, Doctores Mallen street #236, in the Distrito Nacional. Im sure if you want further information on this poll they will be glad to help you.
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Written by: Belial, 13 May 2008 2:29 AM
From: United States
"Yes if only we could me more like Venezuela and Cuba we would have it made. Those people are really fortunate... " says the lying GC.

0000

According to the CIA World Factbook, the poverty rate in the DR in 41% and "NA %" in Cuba.

The CIA, like the World Bank, IMF, and UN, defines moderate poverty as making less than $2 per day . The CIA defines "extreme" poverty as making less than $1 a day.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poverty

So, 41% of the DR and "NA%" of Cuba make less than $2 a day, the poverty line.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publi....-world-factbook/geos/cu.html#Econ

Why does the CIA Factbook report "NA%" poverty in Cuba?

Unlike the lying scum GC, the CIA knows that every adult Cuban gets a food rations book and the value of rations alone puts every Cuban above the poverty line as the CIA, World Bank, and UN define poverty.

When we add health care, education, and housing, then there's NO poverty in Cuba as poverty is defined for the DR.
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Written by: Belial, 13 May 2008 2:48 AM
From: United States
So, discovering the non-existence of poverty in Cuba under the bourgeois definition of poverty that is applied by the World Bank, UN, & CIA ... what does the lying scum, like GC, do?

They say it's unfair to compare the standard of living of the Cuban people to that of the DR people. They say you got to compare the standard of living or the Cuban people to that of Dominican bourgeoisie, all millionaires.

They say if you must do a people-to-people comparison and not a people-to-bourgeoisie comparison, then compare the standard of living of the Cuban people to that of US or Canadian or German or Japanese people.

It's true that all of the big capitalist countries have a higher standard of living for their people than Cuba.

But the lying scum forget that Cuba doesn't belong to the group of big capitalist countries, Cuba belongs to Latin America & Caribbean and should be compared people-to-people with these countries.

Lying scum, like GC, refuse due to embarassing results.
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Written by: Belial, 13 May 2008 3:26 AM
From: United States
The lying scum, like GC, sometimes try tricknology with numbers.

They say or lie as follows:

The average Cuban wage is about $20 a month.

So, when you divide $20 by 30 days, the Cuban workers make on average about 66 cents a day.

Under the most popular definition of poverty in bourgeois economics, used by the World Bank, CIA, IMF, and UN, poverty is making less than $2 a day and extreme poverty less than $1.

So, what does the lying scum, like GC, do, when they get this data and definition.

The lying scum says "At 66 cents day, the Cubans live in not only extreme poverty but also in the extreme of the extreme of poverty."

Do you see how they, the scum, lie?

When you ask the lying scum, what about the value of health care, the education, the housing, and food rations?

The lying scum, like GC, say they don't count. Only the $20 count.
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 13 May 2008 3:42 AM
From: Canada
Splat....sleazing around in the darkness again....afraid to come out in the light ?.... its finito for fidel
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Written by: gouletcolonial, 13 May 2008 3:53 AM
From: Canada
this ones for you SPLAT http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSN0723111120080511
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