President Fernandez wins in all major polls.
Santo Domingo.- Dominican President Leonel Fernandez would win the May 16 elections with 56 percent of the votes in the first ballot, while his closest challenger Miguel Vargas would get 37 percent.
The pollster Penn, Schoen, Berland and Associates, in its most recent survey sent via email Wednesday morning, said should a second balloting be needed, Fernandez, of the ruling PLD party, would win with 58 percent, to 39 percent for Vargas, of the PRD party and a minister in the presidency of Hipolito Mejia (2000-2004).
It said the decline in the undecided from 4 to 2 percent and support for the candidate of the PRSC party, Amable Aristy, from 8 to 5 percent, contributed to Vargas’s climb from 32 percent in March to 37 percent in April.
The survey, done from between April 21 to 25, with 1,016 Dominican citizens registered to vote, has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
To win the presidential elections a candidate needs 50 percent plus one vote. Should any candidate fail to get more than half the votes a second ballot would be held June 30.
From: Dominican Republic
Look at his face gesture, he cannot even belief, the hype.
How reliable is Penn, Schoen poll? know one i know has been asked, who will you vote for.
Ask any Domninican if Penn, Schoen ask them any questions, and there reply will be,.."Como fue la Vaina? lol
From: United States
Gallop Polls have been used for many years and now all of sudden people want to question these polls. I find that most polls are pretty accurate have been used in the US and all over the world. In DR this gallop by Penn has been used many times and has been right on the money. I can't wait for the election to be over.
Written by: josean, 7 May 2008 4:11 PM
From: United States
Yeah right!
The Penn here of Penn, Shoen is Mark Penn who is/ was the pollster and chief strategist for Hillary Clinton and we know how well she is doing!
This "objective and transparent gentleman" was taking money for them Columbian government to lobby the US government on behalf of the US-Columbia Free Trade Agreement while he was being paid millions of dollars by Hillary Clinton, who was against the agreement.
When this was exposed this caused her credibility gap to increase, might have caused her some votes and he was reprimanded with a demotion in the campaign.
So I believe in his polls as much as I believe in "Lie-onel's" promises!
From: United States
On May 16th we will find who right or wrong.
Written by: Edward, 7 May 2008 4:18 PM
From: United States, Leominster, Massachusetts
Four more years!!! Four more years!!! :-)
From: Canada
at least four more years ......the PRD will return with the locusts in 20 more years
From: United States
I don't think Leonel can get the same % of votes he got when the country was doing so bad under Hipolito. I think he will win on the 1st round, but with a % between 51 and 53.
From: United States
Why do we have a 2nd round anyway? Balaguer is already gone. This is such a waste of money.
From: United States
I think he will do better than a 57%
From: Canada
saturn 15 you got that right...it is a total scam ....a front for a bunch of jerks to make some money by selling their splinter
From: United States
Have you seen that commercial the one that talks about digital cable, the one that states 90% of the survey can be altered 50% of the time?
Elections have been stolen in DR before and they have been stolen recently in the U.S. you should be skeptical of any survey done in DR or anywhere favoring one political opponent over the other.
These polls or surveys are like propaganda buttery up the public. Can you see how close the elections will be? If LF does steal the elections, he and his party will use the surveys / polls to justify any doubts in peoples minds.
Written by: TheTruth, 7 May 2008 5:46 PM
From: United States, Boston
2004.........we met at the matum in Santaigo where Mejia stayed when he was there ,they paid me to pretend to be a pollster and had the news papers show up cdn listen dario canal 25 and I showed a bogus poll to them and they bought it hook line and sinker tell me the polls are solid and I will say you are ignorent of reality ...................................1016 people from where ??
Written by: josean, 7 May 2008 5:46 PM
From: United States
chillaxin201
Bingo!
From: United States
Pollster such as Penn,Schoen.... can do the same for any candidte and come out with about the same %. If it goes to an area that is predomenantly in favor to a particular party. I had said that Mr. Fernandez has no competition in Dominican politics. The country had a bag experience when Mr. Hipolito (PRD) was in power. The failures of the PRD, gave many Dominicans a better look at both parties. The PLD is more of an intellectual organization with goals that are more well defined than any of the other parties. The PRD has demonstrated its incompetancies while in power and has not learned nor corrected its passed mistakes. Sure, the PLD has made some mistakes in its priorities but overall it has reached ecominics and social grow not only at this round but also in its previous round. Credit must be given were its due even if I don't like politicians, the facts and the true will still be the same. Unlike other parties in D.R. the PLD is the one with the best record. Tried to argue that.
Written by: josean, 7 May 2008 11:30 PM
From: United States
The PLD is a party of pseudo intellectuals or intellectual want-a-bes and improvisers. The last intellectual in that party had was the great Dr. Bosch. The rest are imitations and cheap ones at that, like IKEA's furniture. They are shysters who have run a slick game of gimmicks using their NY style tigeraje. Dazzling the public with flowery rhetoric and "sloganisims," like un Nueva Yol chiquito.
The party was taken over by the most backward elements of the neo Trujillistas who were in the PRSC, like Morales Troncoso and his ilk, to the point that "Lie-onel" has declared himself the heir to El Balaguerismo Historico.
So rather than the public getting a" Nueva Yol Chiquito" they got a Balaguer chiquitico!
If not ARGUE THAT with Danilo Medina!
From: Dominican Republic
I polled 2000 Dominican citizens registered to vote and 55% said they would vote for Leonel Fernandez, 36% for Miguel Vargas and 7% for Amable Aristy. This poll has a 2% margin of error.
No actual work was done, but I'm sure newspapers and other agencies would be willing to purchase these "findings".
Polling is a very opportunistic business. I used to work for one (in the US) and many results were just estimates based on other polls, some were based on 1/10 of the stated number of participants, and others were slightly biased to benefit the clients.
Polling is just a business which takes advantage of current events. They may give us a general sense of what's going on, but they're far from exact figures.
From: United States
vargas : espero que tu mama te perdone tus calumnias !!!
From: Canada
ramon1212 stop trying to conceal your feelings...dont hold back, tell us how you really feel
From: United States
Like I say: to those Dominicans that forgot the PRD's last four years in power,you are all nothing but massochists if you're even thinking of bringing that brigade back into power. You guys talk about the Metro as if it's something that will benefit the rich and not the poor. Newsflash people, most riders will be the poor heading off to work in the city. The rich will continue to drive their expensive cars. Stop kidding yourselves. You critized all the highways and overpasses built before the Metro and yet you can't do without them these days. Get a life! The only thing Hipolito will be remembered for, aside from his incompetentness, is the 2003 Pan Am games. Who in the world did that benefit? Certainly not the Dominican people. This guy Vargas talks a lot of bull but only one thing is guaranteed, all the failures of past PRD administrations will be realized once again, if he gets elected. Ignorance is bliss....
Written by: josean, 8 May 2008 7:34 AM
From: United States
"Newsflash people, most riders will be the poor heading off to work in the city."
Approximately the estimate of usage will 250,000 people, in a small segment of the Capital, which by the way is a part of the republic (not how the PLD want to see it as the whole country), how about the other 8,750,000 Dominicans in the rest of the country who are paying for this reelection project?
So only the poor in the capital deserve their needs to be met. The millions with dirt floors and no schools, hospitals or other basic needs in the rest of the country, to hell with them!
Guess what, since they perceive that this is the only place so called development is taking place, the will abandon their villages and come to La Capital and create more slums and over crowding and tapones y a conchar se a dicho!
You tout "Lie-onel's" overpasses and roads in the Capital as a success. If they were so successful why then the need to build a METRO?
Continued:
Written by: josean, 8 May 2008 7:36 AM
From: United States
Because of uncontrolled, poorly planned disorganized development, that's why!
Whatever temporary relieve, if any these projects create, is almost immediately wiped out because more people come to the promised land since their is no proportional development occurring throughout the country.
This is a flawed economic development model, because it is based on looking good for the next election and not on a long term development strategy for the entire country.
Written by: josean, 8 May 2008 8:13 AM
From: United States
From: Dominican Republic
By the way, Josean is against all political parties... he'll probably only support a party if it decides to open up the border and let all the hating Hatians in.
Written by: josean, 8 May 2008 12:32 PM
From: United States
"By the way, Josean is against all political parties... "
That is correcto mundo 100%!
From: Dominican Republic
let all the hating Hatians in.
___________________________
LOL Haitians are already here, who do you think does the majority of construction jobs.
Foreigners are buying Ocean Front View property, Building Condos with Haitin labor, and making a killing when they sell each condo.
They work for measly pennies, its kind of like the immigrant Hispanic's in the U.S.
From: Canada
time2...lets drive the foreigners into the ocean ,steal their condos....sounds like a plan ...it worked for Mugabe
Written by: juliony, 9 May 2008 4:36 PM
From: United States, New YOrk
time2rize: I recently built a 5 walk up building and at first I approached a Dominican Construction company. They were asking $16 million pesos.., Later a friend told me to stop by a Haitian Group in Santiago.. and I built the building for less than half. The Haitian groups has everything from architects, construction, doctors, engineers. they are orgazined, something Dominicans should learn to do...
I recently heard the Dominican construction company is using Haitians to do the work, because he can not find Dominican workers...
Nuestra gente no quiere trabajar, cortando Cagna de azucar o construciones.. Ellos quieren trabajo de oficina o jefes..
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How reliable is Penn, Schoen poll? know one i know has been asked, who will you vote for.
Ask any Domninican if Penn, Schoen ask them any questions, and there reply will be,.."Como fue la Vaina? lol
The Penn here of Penn, Shoen is Mark Penn who is/ was the pollster and chief strategist for Hillary Clinton and we know how well she is doing!
This "objective and transparent gentleman" was taking money for them Columbian government to lobby the US government on behalf of the US-Columbia Free Trade Agreement while he was being paid millions of dollars by Hillary Clinton, who was against the agreement.
When this was exposed this caused her credibility gap to increase, might have caused her some votes and he was reprimanded with a demotion in the campaign.
So I believe in his polls as much as I believe in "Lie-onel's" promises!
Elections have been stolen in DR before and they have been stolen recently in the U.S. you should be skeptical of any survey done in DR or anywhere favoring one political opponent over the other.
These polls or surveys are like propaganda buttery up the public. Can you see how close the elections will be? If LF does steal the elections, he and his party will use the surveys / polls to justify any doubts in peoples minds.
Bingo!
The party was taken over by the most backward elements of the neo Trujillistas who were in the PRSC, like Morales Troncoso and his ilk, to the point that "Lie-onel" has declared himself the heir to El Balaguerismo Historico.
So rather than the public getting a" Nueva Yol Chiquito" they got a Balaguer chiquitico!
If not ARGUE THAT with Danilo Medina!
No actual work was done, but I'm sure newspapers and other agencies would be willing to purchase these "findings".
Polling is a very opportunistic business. I used to work for one (in the US) and many results were just estimates based on other polls, some were based on 1/10 of the stated number of participants, and others were slightly biased to benefit the clients.
Polling is just a business which takes advantage of current events. They may give us a general sense of what's going on, but they're far from exact figures.
Approximately the estimate of usage will 250,000 people, in a small segment of the Capital, which by the way is a part of the republic (not how the PLD want to see it as the whole country), how about the other 8,750,000 Dominicans in the rest of the country who are paying for this reelection project?
So only the poor in the capital deserve their needs to be met. The millions with dirt floors and no schools, hospitals or other basic needs in the rest of the country, to hell with them!
Guess what, since they perceive that this is the only place so called development is taking place, the will abandon their villages and come to La Capital and create more slums and over crowding and tapones y a conchar se a dicho!
You tout "Lie-onel's" overpasses and roads in the Capital as a success. If they were so successful why then the need to build a METRO?
Continued:
Whatever temporary relieve, if any these projects create, is almost immediately wiped out because more people come to the promised land since their is no proportional development occurring throughout the country.
This is a flawed economic development model, because it is based on looking good for the next election and not on a long term development strategy for the entire country.
Here is another example of the "competence" and "efficiency" of the PLD!
Read on:
http://www.listin.com.do/app/article.aspx?id=57968
That is correcto mundo 100%!
___________________________
LOL Haitians are already here, who do you think does the majority of construction jobs.
Foreigners are buying Ocean Front View property, Building Condos with Haitin labor, and making a killing when they sell each condo.
They work for measly pennies, its kind of like the immigrant Hispanic's in the U.S.
time2rize: I recently built a 5 walk up building and at first I approached a Dominican Construction company. They were asking $16 million pesos.., Later a friend told me to stop by a Haitian Group in Santiago.. and I built the building for less than half. The Haitian groups has everything from architects, construction, doctors, engineers. they are orgazined, something Dominicans should learn to do...
I recently heard the Dominican construction company is using Haitians to do the work, because he can not find Dominican workers...
Nuestra gente no quiere trabajar, cortando Cagna de azucar o construciones.. Ellos quieren trabajo de oficina o jefes..